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Foggofwar takes current events, news, weapons technology advancements, etc, and analyzes the implications for US foreign policy, and sometimes suggests policy decisions. Additionally, Foggofwar sometimes takes an in-depth look at longer-term events to help readers get a better idea of what's going on. Authors so far include a Master's student in International Relations, and an Aerospace Engineer, both from MIT.

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Foggofwar Engineering Defense and Foreign Policy

English - Foreign Policy, War, Politics

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Foggofwar · 2M ago

The Syrian Uprising: Part III, "Prospects for Opposition Victory"

Today we continue the third installment of our four-part series on Syria: Prospects for Opposition Victory.First, let's define victory for the opposition. Most importantly, they want Assad gone. Assad is unlikely to step down in any meaningful way without being toppled completely. If we look to Egyp

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Foggofwar · 3M ago

The Syrian Uprising: Part II, "The Military Reality on the Ground"

Just to make sure I'm adequately managing expectations: the military situation on the ground in Syria is very fuzzy, and is made up of very contradictory reports of government supporters and Free Syrian Army supporters. We'll do what we can.What we do know is that the Free Syrian Army is now capable

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Foggofwar · 4M ago

The Syrian Uprising: Part I, "The Nature of the Opposition Movement"

Syria is not Egypt, is not Tunisia, is not Libya, is not Iraq, is not Afghanistan. Getting a sense of the nature of the uprising will require a relatively detailed analysis that requires us to more-or-less throw out any preconceived model we have based on these previous uprisings. Let's take a look.

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Foggofwar · 5M ago

Foreign Interests in the North Korean Power Transition

Kim Jong Il is dead. His son, Kim Jong Un is taking over.At least, we think so. The North Korean regime is run, essentially, by a military oligarchy. Generals and other high-ranking officials tend to garner strong loyalties by their troops, and thus have the power to enforce their wishes.It is thus

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Foggofwar · 6M ago

The Aftermath of Europe's Disintegration

Dear Readers,I apologise for my long absence from the blog. I've been busy, but I've also been holding back and feeling out the European situation before I wanted to say anything definitive about it.As the European Debt Crisis worsens, we are starting to see the fault lines in the "Blocanization" of

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Foggofwar · 8M ago

Highlight: A Fractured Anti-American Islamist Movement

Al Qaeda released an article in its English newsletter Inspire calling Iran's President Ahmedinijad a conspiracy theorist, and that he should stop blaming the US for 9/11.This is more than just boasting by Al-Qaeda. It's not simply that they want the credit for the attack on the WTC, but specificall

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Foggofwar · 8M ago

Baltic Solidarity to an Emerging Russia

1) The Visegrad 4: Eastern Europe as a Major Player2) The Re-Emergent Russian Bloc3) Baltic Solidarity to an Emerging Russia4) The EU Periphery: "Core" EU's Albatross5) The Atlantics: A Return to Arms-Length Continental ManagementDear readers, Sorry about the wait. Today we conclude our 5-part serie

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Foggofwar · 8M ago

Libya Mop Up: What's Taking the NTC So Long?

A few readers have asked, "Why is the NTC taking so long to capture Bani Walid and Sirte?"Great question, and (luckily) simple answer. Sun Tzu mentioned that you always want to give an enemy the ability to retreat. If not, they'll fight to the last man, taking many of you with them. In past battles

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Foggofwar · 9M ago

A Complicated Libya Transition

As Gaddafi's regime ends (as now it is a mop-up exercise), "the world" must begin thinking hard about how to help Libya transition over to a functional, democratic government--and what the effect on the region will be. The short version: -The rebels are deeply divided about the direction they wan

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Foggofwar · 9M ago

Quick Libya Update

I know I owe everybody an update that discusses the Baltics--I promise, it's actually more interesting than you probably think it is. It's worth a quick Libya update. For those of you rooting for the Rebels, they seem to have finally broken the stalemate. Trained reinforcements from Benghazi and i

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